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  • Refuting GW alarmism

    Link (Chicago Sun Times)

    Alarmist global warming claims melt under scientific scrutiny

    June 30, 2007

    In his new book, The Assault on Reason, Al Gore pleads, "We must stop tolerating the rejection and distortion of science. We must insist on an end to the cynical use of pseudo-studies known to be false for the purpose of intentionally clouding the public's ability to discern the truth." Gore repeatedly asks that science and reason displace cynical political posturing as the central focus of public discourse.

    If Gore really means what he writes, he has an opportunity to make a difference by leading by example on the issue of global warming.

    A cooperative and productive discussion of global warming must be open and honest regarding the science. Global warming threats ought to be studied and mitigated, and they should not be deliberately exaggerated as a means of building support for a desired political position.

    Many of the assertions Gore makes in his movie, ''An Inconvenient Truth,'' have been refuted by science, both before and after he made them. Gore can show sincerity in his plea for scientific honesty by publicly acknowledging where science has rebutted his claims.

    For example, Gore claims that Himalayan glaciers are shrinking and global warming is to blame. Yet the September 2006 issue of the American Meteorological Society's Journal of Climate reported, "Glaciers are growing in the Himalayan Mountains, confounding global warming alarmists who recently claimed the glaciers were shrinking and that global warming was to blame."

    Gore claims the snowcap atop Africa's Mt. Kilimanjaro is shrinking and that global warming is to blame. Yet according to the November 23, 2003, issue of Nature magazine, "Although it's tempting to blame the ice loss on global warming, researchers think that deforestation of the mountain's foothills is the more likely culprit. Without the forests' humidity, previously moisture-laden winds blew dry. No longer replenished with water, the ice is evaporating in the strong equatorial sunshine."

    Gore claims global warming is causing more tornadoes. Yet the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change stated in February that there has been no scientific link established between global warming and tornadoes.

    Gore claims global warming is causing more frequent and severe hurricanes. However, hurricane expert Chris Landsea published a study on May 1 documenting that hurricane activity is no higher now than in decades past. Hurricane expert William Gray reported just a few days earlier, on April 27, that the number of major hurricanes making landfall on the U.S. Atlantic coast has declined in the past 40 years. Hurricane scientists reported in the April 18 Geophysical Research Letters that global warming enhances wind shear, which will prevent a significant increase in future hurricane activity.

    Gore claims global warming is causing an expansion of African deserts. However, the Sept. 16, 2002, issue of New Scientist reports, "Africa's deserts are in 'spectacular' retreat . . . making farming viable again in what were some of the most arid parts of Africa."

    Gore argues Greenland is in rapid meltdown, and that this threatens to raise sea levels by 20 feet. But according to a 2005 study in the Journal of Glaciology, "the Greenland ice sheet is thinning at the margins and growing inland, with a small overall mass gain." In late 2006, researchers at the Danish Meteorological Institute reported that the past two decades were the coldest for Greenland since the 1910s.

    Gore claims the Antarctic ice sheet is melting because of global warming. Yet the Jan. 14, 2002, issue of Nature magazine reported Antarctica as a whole has been dramatically cooling for decades. More recently, scientists reported in the September 2006 issue of the British journal Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society Series A: Mathematical, Physical, and Engineering Sciences, that satellite measurements of the Antarctic ice sheet showed significant growth between 1992 and 2003. And the U.N. Climate Change panel reported in February 2007 that Antarctica is unlikely to lose any ice mass during the remainder of the century.

    Each of these cases provides an opportunity for Gore to lead by example in his call for an end to the distortion of science. Will he rise to the occasion? Only time will tell.
    Dr. Mordrid
    ----------------------------
    An elephant is a mouse built to government specifications.

    I carry a gun because I can't throw a rock 1,250 fps

  • #2
    I have condemned much of Gore's extremist (alarmist) political opportunism for a long time, on this forum and others.

    However, from what I can judge from the above quotation, it would seem that the author of the above journalistic book review is just as extremist as Gore, in the other direction. Some of his assertions are half-truths, cleverly wordsmithed to refute everything Gore says.

    I have researched the Heartland Institute (where the author is affiliated) site and it appears to be a typical right-wing "business-as-usual" organisation with a distinct anti-IPCC policy, as well as anti-Gore. Yet they don't hesitate to quote the IPCC, when it suits their ends. "And the U.N. Climate Change panel reported in February 2007 that Antarctica is unlikely to lose any ice mass during the remainder of the century." And this, when they also state, "Some of the key evidence cited in past IPCC reports has been shown to be fraudulent." This is called having your cake and eating it.

    Credibility rating, on a scale of ten:
    Gore: 1
    Heartland Institute: 1
    Brian (the devil incarnate)

    Comment


    • #3
      It's OK to have your cake & eat it when the IPCC serves it up on a silver platter. Personally I think that those who depend so heavily on (incomplete) computer models are living in a bomb shelter made of paper.

      As for the Heartland Institute; it's quite mainstream in the US midwest where "Show Me" is the operational norm. I know for a European or US Left/East Coast types that's an anathema, but I guess you'll just have to deal with it.
      Dr. Mordrid
      ----------------------------
      An elephant is a mouse built to government specifications.

      I carry a gun because I can't throw a rock 1,250 fps

      Comment


      • #4
        Originally posted by Dr Mordrid View Post
        ...

        As for the Heartland Institute; it's quite mainstream...
        LOL

        it's a tobacco lobby ad agency



        ...
        Roy E. Marden, a member of Heartland's board of directors, was until May 2003 the manager of industry affairs for the Philip Morris (PM) tobacco company, where his responsibilities include lobbying and "managing company responses to key public policy issues," which he accomplishes by "directing corporate involvement with industry, business, trade, and public policy organizations and determining philanthropic support thereto." In a May 1991 document prepared for PM, Marden listed Heartland's "rapid response network" as a "potential spokesperson" among the "portfolio of organizations" that the company had cultivated to support its interests. [6]

        ...

        More recently, in 2006 the Heartland Institute parntered with the National Association of Tobacco Outlets (NATO) in "a campaign to change public opinion about tobacco." The campaign will utilize press releases, letters to editors and an effort to win coverage in magazines and journals, according to an article about the partnership on the NPN Market Pulse web site, a news and information site for petroleum and convenience store marketers. Tom Briant, NATO's Executive Director, said, vowed to work to prevent public health smoking restrictions from being enactged in any more states. "We will certainly work to try and prevent similar statewide smoking bans from being adopted in other states," Briant said, "because we believe the owners of bars and restaurants should have the right to determine how they accommodate their customers and not have government dictate those kinds of regulations."
        Chuck
        秋音的爸爸

        Comment


        • #5
          One of its board members is a former manager for PM so Heartland must by extension be a tobacco company mouthpiece? Pardon me but that's stupid and if applied across the board would exclude people on all sides from policy institutes on similarly senseless grounds.

          Don't forget that several leading Dems have been on tobacco boards too, including Vernon E. Jordan, Jr. (RJR)

          BTW: I'm asthmatic but still am not in favor of tobacco bans on freedom of choice grounds. Instead of banning it in bars etc. I say we put up signs and those who enter/apply to work there have no one to blame but themselves.

          Yes, I can't stand the nanny state.
          Last edited by Dr Mordrid; 1 July 2007, 18:38.
          Dr. Mordrid
          ----------------------------
          An elephant is a mouse built to government specifications.

          I carry a gun because I can't throw a rock 1,250 fps

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by Dr Mordrid View Post
            One of its board members is a former manager for PM so Heartland must by extension be a tobacco company mouthpiece? Pardon me but that's stupid...
            Having trouble reading are we?

            More recently, in 2006 the Heartland Institute partnered with the National Association of Tobacco Outlets (NATO) ...
            Chuck
            秋音的爸爸

            Comment

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