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First it was a very high turnout, so nobody can say it was an election-by-minority.
Exit polls of the recall election (as of 1 hour after the polls closed):
59% voted to recall California Gov. Gray Davis
Replacement ballot:
51% for Arnold Schwarzenggar
30% for California Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante
Breakdowns:
There was no "gender gap"
His appeal was pretty even across age groups from 18-65, with peak popularity among those over 42. Even so the difference between 18 year olds and 65 year olds was only a few points.
Schwarzeneggar gets 18-20% of those discribing themselves as "liberals"
A higher than expected percentage of both Hispanics (30%) and Union (39%) voters went for Schwarzeneggar.
It's very likely the pro-Schwarzeneggar vote will exceed the anti-recall vote, which puts Arnold in the very enviable position of getting more votes than Gov. Davis did.
It even looks like Arnold could win Los Angeles County
The operative term is LANDSLIDE
To put this in political perspective Gov. Davis was the only Democratic governor among the four largest states in the US. The other three (George Pataki of NY, Jeb Bush of Florida and Rick Perry of Texas) were all Republicans. Now all four are.
This election in the nations largest state combined with the huge Democratic losses in the southern states during the 2002 mid-term & congressional election must have the national Democratic leadership wondering what hit 'em.
Dr. Mordrid
Exit polls of the recall election (as of 1 hour after the polls closed):
59% voted to recall California Gov. Gray Davis
Replacement ballot:
51% for Arnold Schwarzenggar
30% for California Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante
Breakdowns:
There was no "gender gap"
His appeal was pretty even across age groups from 18-65, with peak popularity among those over 42. Even so the difference between 18 year olds and 65 year olds was only a few points.
Schwarzeneggar gets 18-20% of those discribing themselves as "liberals"
A higher than expected percentage of both Hispanics (30%) and Union (39%) voters went for Schwarzeneggar.
It's very likely the pro-Schwarzeneggar vote will exceed the anti-recall vote, which puts Arnold in the very enviable position of getting more votes than Gov. Davis did.
It even looks like Arnold could win Los Angeles County
The operative term is LANDSLIDE
To put this in political perspective Gov. Davis was the only Democratic governor among the four largest states in the US. The other three (George Pataki of NY, Jeb Bush of Florida and Rick Perry of Texas) were all Republicans. Now all four are.
This election in the nations largest state combined with the huge Democratic losses in the southern states during the 2002 mid-term & congressional election must have the national Democratic leadership wondering what hit 'em.
Dr. Mordrid
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